Trafalgar Polling shows Republicans might win in November, but haven’t earned voter trust

by mcardinal

Willie R. Tubbs, FISM News

 

American voters might elect Republicans this fall, but recent surveys suggest the support could be far less enthusiastic than conservatives might hope.

The Trafalgar Group, a polling and opinion consulting firm based in Atlanta, has shared the results of a pair of one-question surveys its researchers conducted in August or September. The data hints that American voters intend to vote Republican in 2022, but that more than half of all respondents feel Republicans have not earned voter trust. 

According to an August Trafalgar report, 47.2% of respondents said they would vote Republican in the midterms compared to 41.4% who said they’d vote Democrat and 11.4% who reported being undecided. 

This news portends well for Republicans, as does a Washington Examiner report that found evidence of even more Hispanic voters growing disenchanted with the Biden administration. 

“Hispanic voters are showing up for Republican candidates across the country,” a tweet on the GOP’s official account reads. “We have opened more than a dozen Hispanic community centers this cycle & as a result more Hispanic voters are coming to the Republican Party.”

The good news was not complete for the right. A September Trafalgar report points to a reality that, one would assume, will bother Republicans if they are concerned about electoral success beyond November. 

When asked “Have Republicans made a strong enough case as to why they should earn your support in the 2022 midterm elections,” 56.1% of respondents said no compared to 33.9% who said yes and 10% who were unsure. 

These numbers suggest that, for a segment of the population, the midterms are as much about frustrations with the Democratic Party as vigorous support of Republicans. 

Democrats seem to understand this, as the Democratic National Committee continues to campaign in opposition to Republicans rather than in favor of the virtues of leftist candidates. 

“The GOP is too extreme for power,” a Friday tweet by the official DNC account reads. The phrase is run over a graphic that suggests Republicans hope to ban abortion, favor the wealthiest Americans, and defund Medicare and Social Security. 

The Trafalgar Group conducted its earlier poll over three days in late August and its September research over three days in the first week of the month. In each case, researchers reported a confidence level of 95% and reported a margin of error of 2.9%. 

DONATE NOW